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Abstract
This study examines the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Central Kalimantan during the period 2014-2023. As a province rich in natural resources, Central Kalimantan faces challenges in optimizing fiscal policy to promote sustainable economic growth and reduce development disparities between regions. This research aims to evaluate the effectiveness of fiscal policy implementation, analyze the impact of budget allocation on leading economic sectors, and examine its influence on equitable economic development across regions. The research methodology employs a quantitative approach with panel data analysis for the period 2014-2023 covering 13 regencies and 1 city in Central Kalimantan. Based on the Hausman test results, the fixed effects model was selected as the best model with GRDP as the dependent variable and independent variables including capital expenditure, infrastructure spending, PAD, and transfer funds. The research results show a significant relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth with a capital expenditure elasticity coefficient of 0.284 and a multiplier effect of 1.42. The construction sector shows the highest elasticity (0.412) to capital expenditure, followed by manufacturing industry (0.385) and agriculture (0.276). Regional inequality analysis shows a decrease in the Williamson Index from 0.412 (2019) to 0.364 (2023). In conclusion, fiscal policy has a positive impact on regional economic growth but still requires optimization in terms of budget allocation, strengthening regional fiscal capacity, development equalization, and developing comprehensive monitoring systems.
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References
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References
Acemoglu, D., & & Robinson, J. A. (2019). The narrow corridor: States, societies, and the fate of liberty: winners of the 2024 nobel prize in economics. The Narrow Corridor: How Nations Struggle For Liberty, January, 608. https://books.google.co.tz/books/about/The_Narrow_Corridor.html?id=JxWJDwAAQBAJ&redir_esc=y
Blanchard, O., Leandro, A., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2021). Redesigning EU fiscal rules: From rules to standards. Economic Policy, 36(106), 195–236. https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiab003
Bom, P. R. D., & Ligthart, J. E. (2014). Public infrastructure investment, output dynamics, and balanced budget fiscal rules. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 40, 334–354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2014.01.018
Carbaugh, R. J. (1385). International Economis (Vol. 17).
Chairul, R. P., Falianty, T. A., Triaswati, N., & Revindo, M. D. (2025). Resource curse or blessing? The role of economic complexity in low- and middle-income countries’ industrialization. Cogent Economics and Finance, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2492200
Dylan Trotsek. (2016). Economic Growth and Convergence, Applied Especially To China. NBER Working Paper Series, 9, 1689–1699.
Einstein, A. (2020). The Science of Macroeconomics.
Filippetti, A., & Sacchi, A. (2013). Varieties of Decentralization, Institutional Complementarities, and Economic Growth: Evidence in OECD Countries. SSRN Electronic Journal, March. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2291053
Fraschini, A. (2013). Fiscal Federalism In The Big Developing Countries: China And India. February 2006.
Gemmell, N., Kneller, R., & Sanz, I. (2016). Does the Composition of Government Expenditure Matter for Long-Run GDP Levels? Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 78(4), 522–547. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12121
Haga, R., Nugroho, S., Bancin, J. B., & Christmas, A. F. (2024). Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Dana Perimbangan, Terhadap Belanja Pemerintah dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kalimantan Tengah. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Akuntansi, Dan Pajak, 1(4), 127–141. https://doi.org/10.61132/jieap.v1i4.633
Latifah, L. L., & Rosyadi, S. (2024). Analisis Kebijakan Fiskal Pasca Pandemi Covid-19 Studi Kasus Indonesia. El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam, 5(3), 1787–1801. https://doi.org/10.47467/elmal.v5i3.799
Risqiyah, W., & Yunani, A. (2022). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pendapatan Asli Daerah dan Dana Alokasi Umum Terhadap Alokasi Anggaran Belanja Modal Pada Pemerintah Daerah Provinsi Kalimantan Tengah. JIEP: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 5(1), 68–80.
Rodrik, D. (2015). Economics Rules. https://global.oup.com/academic/product/economics-rules-9780198736899?lang=en%7B&%7Dcc=za
Rodrik, D. (2021). Why Does Globalization Fuel Populism? Economics, Culture, and the Rise of Right-Wing Populism. Annual Review of Economics, 13, 133–170. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-070220-032416
Sari, F. M., Astuti, A., Zamanda, D., Restu, F. P., & Fadilla, A. (2024). Kebijakan Fiskal dan Dampaknya Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Journal of Economics, Assets, and Evaluation, 1(4), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.47134/jeae.v1i4.231
Stijns, J.-P. C. (2024). This document is discoverable and free to researchers across the globe due to the work of AgEcon Search. AgEcon Search, 1–26.
Thomas, A. (2016). Inequality and Globalization. Republic of Equals, 56, 338–367. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190602116.003.0012
Thwaites, J. (2025). Joseph Stiglitz. People, Power and Profits: Progressive Capitalism for an Age of Discontent, New York / London, W.W. Norton and Co., 2020, 371p. (LCCN-2019014726; ISBN-9781324004219).
Yılmaz, D., & Çetin, I. (2017). The Impact of Infrastructure on Growth in Developing Countries. January, 40–68. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-2361-1.ch003
